O. V. Bakhlova. Integration Policy of Russia in the Region of the Commonwealth of Independent States: Opportunities, Estimates, Prospects
O. V. Bakhlova. Integration Policy of Russia in the Region of the Commonwealth of Independent States: Opportunities, Estimates, Prospects
Acknowledgements: the study was performed with financial support from Russian Foundation for Basic Research, research project “Integration policy of Russia as a factor of formation and implementation of the Strategy of national development”, No. 16-03-00603.
Key words: region; Eurasian Economic Union; integration; integration policy; integration processes; Collective Security Treaty Organization; post-Soviet space; Commonwealth of Independent States; Union State; scenario
Introduction: Russia’s integration policy, as part of the national policy, is focused on the promotion of integration processes in the CIS region. The multi-layered transnational nature of current problems and challenges urges countries not only to expand cooperation based on shared and common interests, but also to enrich the instruments for achieving integration goals and objectives. An effective integration policy requires pairing domestic and foreign policy priorities, factors and resources; it should be balanced and take account of the needs and opportunities of the integrating states, population, regions, socio-political and other entities.
Materials and Methods: the study primarily used the materials of the expert survey on the issues of post-Soviet and Eurasian integration and the data from the Eurasian Economic Commission. The methods of political diagnosis and political expertise were the basic ones; the method of determining the parameters of difficulty in the CIS sub-regional associations with the participation of Russia was also used. Using the method of scenario planning on the basis of the “situation-based” approach, short analytical search scenarios of evolution of the integration policy of Russia were developed, as well as those of the dynamics of integration processes in the region. In the framework of the expert poll, a survey of members of the scientific community of Russia and Belarus was conducted.
Results: different parameters of the integration policy of Russia are ambiguously interpreted by experts. On the one hand, their views largely coincided in such areas as the status and role characteristics of Russia and its integration partners in the CIS, the nature of the relationship in the integration associations, the level of involvement of non-governmental institutions, social support for integration policy. On the other hand, there is a range of opinions on quantitative indicators. Belarusian experts have shown greater restraint in their estimates in comparison with their Russian counterparts. With the help of an expert poll and other methods, the main problems of the integration policy were identified and practical recommendations were produced.
Discussion and Conclusions: Russia’s balanced integration policy should be aimed at strengthening the optimistic scenarios, the main sub-regional formats and at preservation of the CIS as an important dialogue platform. Expectations of a higher level can be embodied under the condition of reliance on the sources of domestic growth and on the positive motivation of the integrating states. In the short and medium terms, one should consider the existing vulnerabilities, mitigating their most negative manifestations and consequences. What is needed is intensification of integration of branding, increased verifiability of the results of the integration activities, emphasized pro-integration instruments, de-bureaucratization of processes and procedures of interaction, updated scientific and educational support of the integration policy and integration processes.
REFERENCES
1. Valovaya T. [The Post-Soviet Space in the Era of Pragmatism]. Rossija v global’noj politike = Russia in Global Affairs. 2005; 2(3):158—171. Available at: http://globalaffairs.ru/number/n_4830 (accessed 01.06.2017). (In Russ.)
2. Fedulova N. [Russia — CIS: a Time to Gather Stones]. Mirovaja jekonomika i mezhdunarodnye otnoshenija = World Economy and International Relations. 2006; 1:104—111. Available at: https://www.imemo.ru/jour/meimo/index.php?page_id=685&id=3039&jid=3021&j... (accessed 01.06.2017). (In Russ.)
3. Vinokurov E. [Pragmatic Eurasianism]. Rossija v global’noj politike =Russia in Global Affairs. 2013; 2. Available at: http://globalaffairs.ru/number/Pragmaticheskoe-evraziistvo-15950 (accessed 01.06.2017). (In Russ.)
4. Borishpolets K.P. [Public Diplomacy in EEU Region: Understanding the Phenomenon and its Development]. Vestnik MGIMO-Universiteta =MGIMO-University Bulletin. 2015; 5:42—55. Available at: http://www.vestnik.mgimo.ru/sites/default/files/pdf/005_borishpoleckp.pdf (accessed 01.06.2017). (In Russ.)
5. Borishpolets K.P. [The Public Diplomacy Resources of the Union State of Russia and Belarus]. Vestnik MGIMO-Universiteta = MGIMO-University Bulletin. 2017; 3:224—237. Available at: http://www.vestnik.mgimo.ru/sites/default/files/pdf/012_bor.pdf (accessed 01.06.2017). (In Russ.)
6. Lebedeva M.M., Kharkevich M.V. [The Role of the Russian Soft Power in Eurasian Integration]. Vestnik MGIMO-Universiteta = MGIMO-University Bulletin. 2014; 2:10—13. Available at: http://www.vestnik.mgimo.ru/sites/default/files/pdf/lebedeva_harkevich.pdf (accessed 01.06.2017). (In Russ.)
7. Cooley A. Great Games, Local Rules: the New Great Power Contest in Central Asia. Oxford: Oxford University Press; 2012. 272 p.
8. Kanet R.E. Russian Foreign Policy in the 21st Century. New York: Palgrave Macmillan; 2011. 295 p.
9. Sakwa R. Frontline Ukraine: Crisis in the Borderlands. London; New York: I.B. Taurus; 2015. 320 p.
10. Zuev V. [Methodology of Classification and Evaluation of Regional Integration Forms]. Evrazijskaja jekonomicheskaja integracija = Eurasian Economic Integration. 2014; 3:25—43. Available at: https://eabr.org/upload/iblock/cad/eei_3_2014_zuev.pdf (accessed 05.06.2017). (In Russ.)
11. Ushkalova D.I. [On the Issue of Models and Mechanisms of Russia’s Participation in Regional Economic Integration]. Vestnik MGIMO-Universiteta = MGIMO-University Bulletin. 2014; 4:139—147. Available at: http://www.vestnik.mgimo.ru/sites/default/files/pdf/018_04-2014_ushkalov... (accessed 05.06.2017). (In Russ.)
12. Neshataeva T.N. [Integration and Supranationalism]. Vestnik Permskogo universiteta. Serija: Juridicheskie nauki = Perm University Herald. Series: Yuridical Sciences. 2014; 2:243—248. Available at: http://www.jurvestnik.psu.ru/images/stories/vestnik/pdf/2014_2_24.pdf (accessed 05.06.2017). (In Russ.)
13. Strezhneva M. [Supranationality and the Subsidiarity Principle in the European Union and Beyond]. Mirovaja jekonomika i mezhdunarodnye otnoshenija = World Economy and International Relations. 2016; 6:5—14. DOI: https://doi.org/10.20542/0131-2227-2016-60-6-5-14
14. Golovnin M.Yu., Zakharov A.V., Ushkalova D.I. [Economic Integration: Lessons for the Post-Soviet Space]. Mirovaja jekonomika i mezhdunarodnye otnoshenija = World Economy and International Relations. 2016; 4(60):61—69. Available at: https://www.imemo.ru/files/File/magazines/meimo/04_2016/61_69_USHKALOVA.pdf (accessed 05.06.2017). (In Russ.)
15. Treshchenkov E. [European and Eurasian Integration Models: the Limits to Their Comparability]. Mirovaja jekonomika i mezhdunarodnye otnoshenija = World Economy and International Relations. 2014; 5:31—41. Available at: https://www.imemo.ru/jour/meimo/index.php?id=4074&page_id=685 (accessed 05.06.2017). (In Russ.)
16. Vardazaryan M.Е. [Armenia: an Uneasy Choice Between Russia’s New Initiatives and the EU Eastern Partnership]. Vestnik MGIMO-Universiteta = MGIMO-University Bulletin. 2014; 1:31—36. Available at: http://www.vestnik.mgimo.ru/sites/default/files/pdf/vardanyan.pdf (accessed 10.06.2017). (In Russ.)
17. Skriba A.S. [Challenges of Eurasian Integration After the Ukrainian Crisis]. Vestnik mezhdunarodnyh organizacij: obrazovanie, nauka, novaja jekonomika = International Organisations Research Journal. Education. Science. New Economy. 2014; 3(9):96—111. Available at: https://iorj.hse.ru/2014-9-3/135818155.html (accessed 10.06.2017). (In Russ.)
18. Agasaryan A. [Eurasian Integration as a New Paradigm of Development of the Post-Soviet Space]. Mezhdunarodnaja zhizn’ = International Affairs. 2014; 4:30—39. Available at: https://interaffairs.ru/virtualread/ia_rus/42014/index.html (accessed 18.06.2017). (In Russ.)
19. Gomart T. [Russia Alone Forever?]. Rossija v global’noj politike = Russia in Global Affairs. 2008; 5. Available at: http://www.globalaffairs.ru/number/n_11633 (accessed 17.06.2017). (In Russ.)
20. Ziyadullaev N., Ziyadullaev S. [Risks and Chances of the Eurasian Economic Integration in the Context of External Sanctions]. Problemy teorii i praktiki upravlenija = Theoretical and Practical Aspects of Management. 2017; 2:8—17. Available at: http://www.ipr-ras.ru/articles/ziyadul17-02.pdf (accessed 17.06.2017). (In Russ.)
About the author:
Olga V. Bakhlova, Doctor of Political Sciences, Professor at the Department of World History, Political Science and Regional Studies, National Research Mordovia State University (68 Bolshevistskaya St., Saransk, 430005, Russia) (е-mail: olga.bahlova@gmail.com). ORCID: http://orcid.org/0000-0002-3849-8321
For citation: Bakhlova O.V. Integration Policy of Russia in the Region of the Commonwealth of independent States: Opportunities, Estimates, Prospects. REGIONOLOGIYA = REGIONOLOGY. 2017; 4(25):482—511.
Материалы журнала "РЕГИОНОЛОГИЯ REGIONOLOGY" доступны по лицензии Creative Commons «Attribution» («Атрибуция») 4.0 Всемирная