O. S. Nadezhina, E. A. Avduevskaya, E. A. Kulchitskaya. The Impact of Technological and Socio-Economic Factors on Personnel Security Elements of the Region

https://doi.org/10.15507/2413-1407.129.033.202502.186-205
EDN: https://elibrary.ru/avdscb
УДК / UDC 331.5:332.1
Abstract

Introduction. In conditions of instability, regions face the problems of population outflow, declining quality of labor resources, and growing imbalance in the labor markets. The solution of these systemic problems is of strategic importance for maintaining human resources and national security as a whole. The development of effective mechanisms to ensure personnel security of the region is impossible without an objective assessment of its internal reserves on the basis of economic and mathematical modeling. Due to the relative novelty of the category “personnel security of the region” in the domestic scientific literature there are no studies on the data of the subjects of the Russian Federation on the relationship between the indicators of technological and socio-economic development with the indicators of personnel security, which limits the possibility of developing sound recommendations for the management of regional systems in the context of modern personnel and demographic challenges. The purpose of the article is to assess the impact of socio-economic and technological factors on the elements of personnel security of the region.

Materials and Methods. The research material was statistical data on socio-economic and technological development of 85 subjects of the Russian Federation for the period from 2017 to 2022. The main method of work is regression analysis. The method of end-to-end regression and panel data methods with fixed and random effects were used. Based on the literature review, we selected dependent variables – elements of human resources security (wages, unemployment rate and the number of the outgoing population) and formulated six hypotheses about the relationship between these variables and technological and socio-­economic factors of regional development.

Results. The hypotheses about the positive relationship between investment in fixed capital, introduction of technological innovations and wages; about the negative relationship between the factors of socio-­economic and technological development and unemployment; about the positive relationship between the number of crimes and unemployment; about the negative relationship between the factors of investment, accessibility of higher education and the number of outgoing population were confirmed. The hypotheses about the relationship between the elements of personnel security and the factors of education accessibility were partially confirmed.

Discussion and Conclusion. The elements of personnel security are mainly influenced by socio-economic factors, while no significant relationship between technological factors and elements of personnel security was revealed. The obtained results expand the theoretical and empirical base of research on the factors of personnel security of regions, socio-economic and technological development; they will be useful in terms of making complex decisions in the field of investment, innovation and socio-economic policy to ensure personnel security of the region.

Keywords: personnel security of the region, threats to personnel security, regression analysis, human resources, sustainable development, socio-economic development strategy, labor market

Conflict of interest. The authors declare no conflict of interest.

Funding. The research was financed as part of the project “Development of a methodology for instrumental base formation for analysis and modeling of the spatial socio-economic development of systems based on internal reserves in the context of digitalization” (FSEG-2023-0008).

For citation: Nadezhina O.S., Avduevskaya E.A., Kulchitskaya E.A. The Impact of Technological and Socio-Economic Factors on Personnel Security Elements of the Region. Russian Journal of Regional Studies. 2025;33(2):186–205. https://doi.org/10.15507/2413-1407.129.033.202502.186-205

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About the authors:

Olga S. Nadezhina, Cand.Sci (Econ.), Associate Professor, Acting Director, Graduate School of Public Administration, Peter the Great St. Petersburg Polytechnic University (29 Litera “Б” Polytechnicheskaya St., St. Petersburg 195251, Russian Federation), ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7960-3546, Researcher ID: F-5756-2017, Scopus ID: 57192012079, SPIN-code: 9411-6358, nadezhina_os@spbstu.ru

Ekaterina A. Avduevskaya, Cand.Sci (Econ.), Associate Professor, Graduate School of Public Administration, Peter the Great St. Petersburg Polytechnic University (29 Litera “Б” Polytechnicheskaya St., St. Petersburg 195251, Russian Federation), ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5407-5812, Researcher ID: U-4323-2018, Scopus ID: 57207847979, SPIN-code: 4472-0127, avduevskaya_ea@spbstu.ru

Elizaveta A. Kulchitskaya, Student, Graduate School of Public Administration, Peter the Great St. Petersburg Polytechnic University (29 Litera “Б” Polytechnicheskaya St., St. Petersburg 195251, Russian Federation), ORCID: https://orcid.org/0009-0001-9215-5143, Researcher ID: LTF-3518-2024, SPIN-code: 2285-1838, kulchitskaya_ea@spbstu.ru

Contribution of the authors:

O. S. Nadezhina – formulation of overarching research goals and aims; oversight and leadership responsibility for the research activity planning and execution; development of methodology; preparation of the published work; critical analysis and revision of the text.

E. A. Avduevskaya – development of methodology; creation of models; analyses and visualization of obtained results; formulation of conclusions; preparation of the published work.

E. A. Kulchitskaya – data collection and application of statistical formal techniques to analyses data; creation of models; preparation of the published work.

Availability of data and materials. The datasets used and/or analyzed during the current study are available from the authors on reasonable request.

The authors have read and approved the final manuscript.

Submitted 29.11.2024; revised 13.01.2025; accepted 16.01.2025.