О. А. Chernova. Socio-Demographic Aspects of Migration and Their Impact on the Sustainability of the Development of Southern Russian Regions

UDК 314.145(1-13)(470+571)

doi: 10.15507/2413-1407.125.031.202304.634-649

Abstract

Introduction. The relevance of the study is due to the significant role of population migration in ensuring regional development. At the same time, the economic consequences of migration are largely determined by the characteristics of migration flows. The purpose of this article is to determine the impact of socio-demographic features of migration flows in the southern Russian regions on the indicators of their sustainable development.

Materials and Methods. Methods of descriptive statistics were used in the analysis of socio-demographic characteristics of migration flows. To test the hypothesis about the impact of socio-demographic characteristics of migration flows on the sustainability of regional development, a correlation analysis of panel data using Excel tools was used. The source of the information was the data of the Federal State Statistics Service for the regions of the Southern Federal District, traced in dynamics from 2002 to 2021.

Results. It is established that migration processes in the southern Russian regions demonstrate both positive and negative effects on individual components of their sustainable development. The strength and direction of this impact is largely determined by the socio-demographic characteristics of migration flows. A strong positive relationship between migration indicators and economic and environmental indicators of sustainable development is demonstrated for almost all regions. The impact on the social sphere is ambivalent. At the same time, there is a rather strong influence of the gender characteristics of migration flows on the socio-ecological aspects of life.

Discussion and Conclusion. Migration will contribute to increasing the sustainability of the development of regional economies only while simultaneously solving the tasks of creating jobs, improving social conditions and preserving the environment. The findings emphasize the need for regional authorities to take into account the socio-demographic structure of migration flows when developing strategies for socio-economic development and can be useful in conditions of increasing geopolitical instability.

Keywords: migration in the Southern Russian regions, sustainable development of the region, gender and age characteristics of the migration flow, economic aspects of migration

Conflict of interests. The author declares that there is not conflict of interest.

For citation: Chernova O.A. Socio-Demographic Aspects of Migration and Their Impact on the Sustainability of the Development of Southern Russian Regions. Russian Journal of Regional Studies. 2023;31(4):634–649. https://doi.org/10.15507/2413-1407.125.031.202304.634-649

REFERENCES

1. Sharp M. The Labour Market Impacts of Female Internal Migration: Evidence from the End of Apartheid. Regional Science and Urban Economics. 2021;91:103624. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.regsciurbeco.2020.103624

2. Bu Y., Wang E., Qiu Y., Möst D. Impact Assessment of Population Migration on Energy Consumption and Carbon Emissions in China: A Spatial Econometric Investigation. Environmental Impact Assessment Review. 2022;93:106744. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eiar.2022.106744

3. Margiani T. Causes of Migration and its Impact on the Economy. Vectors of Social Sciences. 2023;(5):72‒80. https://doi.org/10.51895/VSS5/Margiani

4. Pan J., Lai J. Spatial Pattern of Population Mobility among Cities in China: Case Study of the National Day Plus Mid-Autumn Festival based on Tencent Migration Data. Cities. 2019;94:55‒69. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cities.2019.05.022

5. Obi C., Bartolini F., Brunori G., D’Haese M. How does International Migration Impact on Rural Areas in Developing Countries? A Systematic Review. Journal of Rural Studies. 2020;80:273‒290. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jrurstud.2020.09.016

6. Zhan P., Ma X., Li S. Migration, Population Aging, and Income Inequality in China. Journal of Asian Economics. 2021;76:101351. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.asieco.2021.101351

7. Liang S., Yang X., Wang Y., Wang Y., Xie W., Muttarak R., et al. CO2 Emissions Embodied in International Migration from 1995 to 2015. Environmental Science and Technology. 2020;54(19):12530‒12538. https://doi.org/10.1021/acs.est.0c04600

8. Debnath A., Roy N. Linkage between Internal Migration and Crime: Evidence from India, International Journal of Law. Crime and Justice. 2013;41(3):203‒212. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijlcj.2013.06.001

9. Adger W., Boyd E., Fábos A., Fransen S., Jolivet D., Neville G., et al. Migration Transforms the Conditions for the Achievement of the Sustainable Development Goals. The Lancet Planetary Health. 2019;3(11):e440-e442. https://doi.org/10.1016/S2542-5196(19)30213-X

10. Barnett J., Adger W.N. Mobile Worlds: Choice at the Intersection of Demographic and Environmental Change. Annual Review of Environment Resources. 2018;43:245‒265. https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev-environ-102016-060952

11. Lietaer S., Durand-Delacre D. Situating ‘Migration as Adaptation’ Discourse and Appraising its Relevance to Senegal’s Development Sector. Environmental Science and Policy. 2021;126:11‒21. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsci.2021.09.008

12. Sudakova A.E., Tarasyev A.A., Sandler D.G. A Dynamic Forecasting Model for Scientific Migration in the Region. Economy of Region. 2021;17(4):1196‒1209. (In Russ., abstract in Eng.) https://doi.org/10.17059/ekon.reg.2021-4-11

13. Antonov E.V. The Dynamics of Employment and Regional Labour Markets Situation in Russia in 2010–2017. Vestnik of Saint Petersburg University. Earth Sciences. 2019;64(4):559‒574. (In Russ., abstract in Eng.) https://doi.org/10.21638/spbu07.2019.404

14. Tikhonova N.E., Slobodenyuk E.D. Poverty among Russian Professionals: Scale, Causes, Trends. Universe of Russia. 2022;31(1):113‒137. (In Russ., abstract in Eng.) https://doi.org/10.17323/1811-038X-2022-31-1-113-137

15. Selod H., Shilpi F. Rural-Urban Migration in Developing Countries: Lessons from the Literature. Regional Science and Urban Economics. 2021;91:103713. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.regsciurbeco.2021.103713

16. Karachurina L.B., Mkrtchyan N.V., Petrosian A.N. Spatial Patterns of Net Migration in the Suburbs of Russian Regional Centers. Vestnik Moskovskogo universiteta. Seriya 5, Geografiya. 2021;(6):123‒134. Available at: https://vestnik5.geogr.msu.ru/jour/article/view/942 (accessed 21.05.2023). (In Russ., abstract in Eng.)

17. Zvyagintsev V., Neuvazhaeva M. Migration from Urban to Rural Areas: the Phenomenon of “Counter-Urbanisation” in Modern Russia. Universe of Russia. 2015;24(1):101‒135. Available at: https://mirros.hse.ru/article/view/4945 (accessed 21.05.2023). (In Russ., abstract in Eng.)

18. Klöcker J.A., Daumann F. What Drives Migration to Germany? A Panel Data Analysis. Research in Economics. 2022;77(2):251‒264. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rie.2022.10.002

19. Liu R., Green R., Yu Y., Lv H. Are Migration and Settlement Environment-Driven? Environment-Related Residential Preferences of Migrants in China. Journal of Cleaner Production. 2022;377:134263. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2022.134263

20. Steffen W., Broadgate W., Deutsch L., Gaffney O., Ludwig C. The Trajectory of the Anthropocene: The Great Acceleration. Anthropocene Review. 2015;2(1):81‒98. https://doi.org/10.1177/2053019614564785

21. Voloshenko K.Yu., Lialina A.V., Farafonova Yu.Yu., Novikova A.A. Work-Related Pull Factors and Mechanisms for Attracting Internal Migrants to the Kaliningrad Region. Russian Journal of Regional Studies. 2023;31(1):143–165. (In Russ., abstract in Eng.) https://doi.org/10.15507/2413-1407.122.031.202301.143-165

22. Bhawana B., Dipanker S. Migration of Skilled Professionals Across the Border: Brain Drain or Brain Gain? European Management Journal. 2022. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.emj.2022.12.011

23. Vasilyeva E.V., Vasileva A.V. Demographic Research in the Context of Economic Development and Security of Regions. Economy of Regions. 2022;18(1):1‒20. (In Russ., abstract in Eng.) https://doi.org/10.17059/ekon.reg.2022-1-1

24. Qi W., Abel G., Liu S. Geographic Transformation of China’s Internal Population Migration from 1995 to 2015: Insights from the Migration Centerline. Applied Geography. 2021;135:102564. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apgeog.2021.102564

25. Pan J., Lai J. Spatial Pattern of Population Mobility among Cities in China: Case Study of the National Day Plus Mid-Autumn Festival based on Tencent Migration Data. Cities. 2019;94:55‒69. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cities.2019.05.022

26. Vasilyeva A.V., Tarasyev A.A. Future Development of Migration Processes and Labour Market in the Regions of Russia. Economy of Regions. 2014;(4):283‒298. (In Russ., abstract in Eng.) EDN: TFGKTF

27. Rumyantsev A.S. Modeling of the Internal Migration Process in the Regions of the Russian Federation. Vestnik NSUEM. 2019;(2):118‒126. https://doi.org/10.34020/2073-6495-2019-2-118-126

28. Burik O.V., Minchenko I.A. Population Migration as a threat to the Sustainable Development of the Far East. Science and Business: Development Ways. 2019;(12):188‒191. Available at: http://globaljournals.ru/assets/files/journals/science-and-business/102/sb-12(102)-2019-main.pdf (accessed 21.05.2023).

29. Regent Т.М., Maslennikova А.V. Impact of Migration on Sustainable Regional Development Using the Dynamic Model of Interregional Development. Science. Culture. Society. 2020;26(1):75‒80. Available at: https://cyberleninka.ru/article/n/vliyanie-migratsii-na-ustoychivoe-razvitie-regionov-s-primeneniem-dinamicheskoy-modeli-mezhregionalnogo-razvitiya/viewer (accessed 21.05.2023). (In Russ., abstract in Eng.)

30. Lee T., Peri G., Viarengo M. The Gender Aspect of Migrants’ Assimilation in Europe. Labour Economics. 2022;78:102180. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.labeco.2022.102180

31. Ruyssen I., Salomone S. Female Migration: A Way out of Discrimination? Journal of Development Economics. 2018;130:224‒241. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jdeveco.2017.10.010

32. Cabieses B., Velázquez B., Blukacz A., Farante S., Bojórquez I., Mezones-Holguín E. Intersections between Gender Approaches, Migration and Health in Latin America and the Caribbean: A Discussion based on a Scoping Review. The Lancet Regional Health – Americas. 2023;100538. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.lana.2023.100538

33. Prati G., Cazcarro I., Hazra S. Gender Dimensions of the Migration, Sustainability and Care Nexus: The Case Study of the Mahanadi Delta, India. Current Research in Environmental Sustainability. 2022;4:100104. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.crsust.2021.100104

34. Gavonel M.F., Adger W.N., de Campos R.S., Boyd E., Carr E. R., Fábos A., et al. The Migration-Sustainability Paradox: Transformations in Mobile Worlds. Current Opinion in Environmental Sustainability. 2021;49:98‒109. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cosust.2021.03.013

Received 22.05.2023; revised 12.10.2023; accepted 18.10.2023.

About the author:

Olga A. Chernova, Dr. Sci. (Econ.), Associate Professor, Professor of the Department of Information Economics, Faculty of Economics, Southern Federal University (88 Maxim Gorky St., Rostov-on-Don 344007, Russian Federation), ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5072-7070, Researcher ID: H-9823-2015, Scopus ID: 56581560700, oachernova@sfedu.ru

The author has read and approved the final version of the manuscript.

Лицензия Creative Commons
All the materials of the "REGIONOLOGY" journal are available under Creative Commons «Attribution» 4.0